[Update: As noted in comments, Mr. Graves’ father passed away last week so he delayed his announcement a week. ]
Minneapolis Hotel Tycoon and multi-millionaire Jim Graves almost beat Congresswoman Michele Bachmann in one of the most Democrat friendly election years. He had the help of the national Obama election machine and a Minnesota media hell bent on one sided expose journalism.
Everyone that loves to hate Michele Bachmann (most live outside CD6 by the way) are praying (or whatever atheists do) that Graves decides to run again. And we were told that he’d make the decision early.
The self imposed deadline to announce his decision was last Monday. I guess maybe it was all just an elaborate April Fools Day prank. His campaign website is stuck on election night with just a single news update since election night. His social media was trying to play up the tease of an announcement, but a week past the deadline, and still nothing.
Did he maybe realize he was lucky to have come so close? Luck that will not repeat in a non-Presidential year? More importantly, let’s not forget that he largely self financed his election until very late. Maybe he realized like other tycoon’s you don’t get to be worth hundreds of millions of dollars by writing checks when you can rely on other people to do for you.
There’s no “bench” for Democrats to call on if Graves decides not to run again since CD6 Republicans won 30 of the 33 Legislative races in the District. Of the 3 Democrats who do hold a major office, 2 were drafted out of retirement and probably aren’t up for a big race, and the other only won due to benefitting from an onslaught of (sometimes) racially hued attack pieces and by having 3 college campuses in his St. Cloud District. Democrats had to spend a ton of money to win these 3 seats otherwise it would have likely been a shut out by the Republicans in the CD.
There’s no one with name ID for the DFL to go up against Bachmann unless Tarryl Clark was smart enough not to sign a multi-year lease on her Duluth townhome. Graves is their best and only hope. Frankly, they would be wise to just go spend that money elsewhere. They could fund 3 or 4 other Congressional races for the amount it would take to make this race competitive. CD6 is the most conservative one in Minnesota. Its just hatred or rage that fuels their desire to defeat Bachmann.
I’m sure there is a lot of encouragement for Graves to run, but chances are its only coming from outside the District. He’s been a successful businessman so I’d have to suspect he has looked into the 2012 results and is realizing that it would take a mountain of money to come anywhere near that close in 2014. Obama’s sinking poll numbers, the laundry list of problems going unsolved by this administration, conflicts erupting around the world, the financial crisis, the looming implementation of Obamacare and all the horrible side effects… and of course the trickle of tax increases to pay for all that fundamental transformation of America.
Would you want to run against one of the best critiques of the Obama agenda in one of the most conservative Districts in the Midwest? Bachmann is not in danger and I think the cold feet of announcing another run just proves that Mr. Graves is not interesting in wasting 2 years and a pile of his own money in a no win proposition. Unlike Mark Dayton and Allida Messenger, GRaves actually earned his fortune so he’s not so quick to spend at will.